Municipal Bonds Richest in a Year as Supply Dries Up in Summer
The rally in municipal debt comes as analysts expect supply to continue to shrink in the summer months at the same time that cash-rich investors will have a hoard to invest. Citigroup Inc. analysts predicted that the market will shrink by $39.5 billion between June and August, while investors will receive $44 billion in interest payments.
"Because of the lack of supply relative to demand, and because of the relative height of nominal yields, its going to be hard for munis to project weakness over the summer," said Matt Fabian, a partner with Municipal Market Analytics Inc., in a telephone interview. "Left to their own devices, munis will be prone to rally."